Quantifying the sources of uncertainty in upper air climate variables
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Quantifying the Uncertainty in Climate Predictions
Uncertainties in projections of future climate change caused by an increase in greenhouse gas concentrations have been a subject of intensive study in recent years. However, in most cases, uncertainties in parameters and characteristics of models used to obtain those projections, such as climate sensitivity or radiative forcing, are described only by ranges of possible values. The resulting unc...
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Uncertainty is a feature of any planning study, whether climate change is explicitly included or not. Accounting for and disclosing uncertainty is an established component of good planning practices. In water resources planning this has traditionally included uncertainties associated with natural climate and hydrologic variability, future population and economic conditions, and future technolog...
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One of the objectives of the QUARCC project is to investigate the robustness of recent reports of an anthropogenic innuence on global climate through the application of a consistent optimal detection and attribution methodology to a wider range of alternative climate change mechanisms and a wider range of model predictions and observational data sources than have been addressed to date. The act...
متن کاملUncertainty in Signals of Large-Scale Climate Variations in Radiosonde and Satellite Upper-Air Temperature Datasets
There is no single reference dataset of long-term global upper-air temperature observations, although several groups have developed datasets from radiosonde and satellite observations for climate-monitoring purposes. The existence of multiple data products allows for exploration of the uncertainty in signals of climate variations and change. This paper examines eight upper-air temperature datas...
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Possible climate change caused by an increase in greenhouse gas concentrations, despite having been a subject of intensive study in recent years, is still very uncertain. Uncertainties in projections of different climate variables are usually described only by the ranges of possible values. For assessing the possible impact of climate change, it would be more useful to have probability distribu...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
سال: 2016
ISSN: 2169-897X,2169-8996
DOI: 10.1002/2015jd024341